Crude supply draw offsets Iran glut worries
Multinational 
LONDON, May 26, 2021 – Oil was up Wednesday morning in Asia, as concerns that the possible resumption in Iranian supply would cause a supply glut was offset by strong US crude oil supply data.
Brent oil futures inched up 0.10% to $68.56 by 10:13 PM ET (2:13 AM GMT) and WTI futures inched up 0.03% to $66.09.
Both Brent and WTI futures ended the previous session at their highest level in a week, and the black liquid is up more than 35% in 2021 so far. Investors continue to hope that the lifting of Covid-19 restrictions in some countries such as the US, Europe and China, as well as the imminent beginning of the US summer driving season, will brighten the fuel demand outlook.
However, investors also continue to monitor Covid-19 outbreaks in other areas that have led to the reimposition of restrictive measures.
The June-July WTI time-spread, or the prompt cash roll, traded at 20 cents a barrel on Tuesday, its strongest level since May 2020, an indication that investors are bracing for a potential supply crunch just ahead of the driving season.
Investors continue to await the outcome of indirect negotiations between the US and Iran, with talks resuming in Vienna throughout the week. Should the pair revive their 2015 nuclear deal, and the US lift sanctions that are currently in place, Iran could add around one to two million barrels per day to the global crude supply.
Although Iranian government spokesman Ali Rabiei on Tuesday said he was optimistic about an agreement, Iran’s top negotiator at the talks, Abbas Araqchi, warned that serious issues remained to be negotiated.
Meanwhile, Tuesday’s US crude oil supply data from the American Petroleum Institute showed a draw of 439,000 barrels for the week ending May 21. Forecasts prepared by Investing.com had predicted a 1.279-million-barrel draw, while a 620,000-barrel build was recorded during the week before.
“The API data was good, but investors were paying more attention to the Iran talks because the impact from possible return of Iranian oil to the market is more significant,” Fujitomi Co. chief analyst Kazuhiko Saito told Reuters.
Investors now await crude oil supply data from the US Energy Information Administration, due later in the day.
First published on Investing.com
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